Dreaming of a White Christmas?

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We all know how the song goes… “I’m dreaming of a White Christmas”, but how likely is snow on Christmas day this year?

Despite a rather clement start to December for the vast majority of Scotland, bookmakers actually have the prospect of Scottish “White Christmas” at rather short odds. However, if we consider the fact that the last official white Christmas in the UK was way back in 2010, how likely can it really be?

WHITE CHRISTMAS FORECAST

The latest odds from a well-known bookmaker have three of Scotland’s cities as the most likely to experience a White Christmas, with Aberdeen at #1.

At 7/4 Aberdeen is considered the most likely city in the UK to experience snowfall with Glasgow and Edinburgh next at 2/1 each. Newcastle is 4th at 3/1 with more southern cities such as Bristol and London and coming in at 5/1 and 6/1 respectively.

So, if you live by the old adage that the bookies are rarely wrong, Scotland looks like the place for snow seekers.

The Met Office Opinion

Like all weather forecasts, the closer we get to the day the more accurate the predictions will get, so a serious meteorologist wouldn’t stake their reputation by predicting a “white Christmas” this early in December.

However, the Met Office do sate that: “We can accurately forecast if snow is likely on any given Christmas Day up to five days beforehand. In terms of the statistical likelihood of snow based on climatology, we know that a snowflake has fallen somewhere in the UK on Christmas Day 38 times in the last 54 years, so we can probably expect more than half of all Christmas Days to be a 'white Christmas'.”

DAMAGE

Be careful what you wish for though, thick blankets of snow on rooftops might be the pretty to look at but they also hold a lot water weight. This can lead to structural damage, such as weakening of timbers and masonry or broken gutters, which can result in a number of damp problems.

The temperatures required for snow can also lead to other problems like frozen pipes.

PROTECT YOUR PROPERTY

If Scotland does get heavy snow in December, it is worth remembering that prevention is better than cure when it comes to property problems aggravated by the weather. So, if you think your property could be affected, get in touch with the experts.